Weather forecast accuracy details for Saint Paul, Minnesota

These are the one- to three-day out accuracy percentages for high temperature, low temperature, icon forecast precipitation (both rain and snow), and text forecast precipitation (both rain and snow). Temperature accuracy is the percentage of forecasts within three degrees. Precipitation accuracy is the percentage of correct forecasts. The forecasts are collected in the evening.

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Weather Forecast Accuracy Data Last Month (July)

Provider High Temp Low Temp Icon Precip Text Precip Overall
AccuWeather   76.67% 86.67% 71.11% 71.11% 76.39%
AerisWeather   69.89% 84.95% 75.27% 75.27% 76.34%
Dark Sky   69.89% 83.87% 75.27% 75.27% 76.08%
The Weather Channel   73.12% 83.87% 73.12% 73.12% 75.81%
Weather Underground   72.04% 86.02% 72.04% 72.04% 75.54%
Foreca/Vaisala   58.06% 83.87% 75.27% 75.27% 73.12%
Weather News   67.74% 84.95% 69.89% 69.89% 73.12%
Wetter   66.67% 74.19% 70.97% 68.82% 70.16%
NWS Digital Forecast   72.04% 88.17% 52.69% 52.69% 66.40%
Weatherbit   64.52% 38.71% 69.89% 69.89% 60.75%
OpenWeather   55.91% 47.31% 56.99% 56.99% 54.30%
World Weather Online   46.24% 49.46% 53.76% 53.76% 50.81%
Persistence   37.68% 41.18% 55.07% 55.07% 47.25%

Weather Forecast Accuracy Data Last Year (2021)

Provider High Temp Low Temp Icon Precip Text Precip Overall
Weather Underground   79.67% 78.27% 87.47% 87.47% 83.22%
The Weather Channel   79.29% 78.09% 86.35% 86.35% 82.52%
AccuWeather   79.15% 76.79% 81.92% 81.41% 79.82%
Foreca/Vaisala   73.72% 75.77% 83.39% 83.19% 79.02%
Dark Sky   68.15% 75.95% 85.14% 85.14% 78.60%
AerisWeather   69.74% 72.53% 81.47% 81.47% 76.30%
NWS Digital Forecast   73.81% 73.71% 75.00% 75.00% 74.38%
Wetter   61.65% 59.42% 85.89% 85.89% 73.21%
Weather News   57.43% 62.67% 78.62% 78.62% 69.34%
Weatherbit   49.86% 48.82% 74.50% 74.50% 61.92%
OpenWeather   48.28% 45.03% 75.58% 75.58% 61.12%
World Weather Online   43.18% 54.97% 69.92% 69.92% 59.49%
Persistence   29.60% 31.67% 59.26% 59.26% 44.95%

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The data here is calculated from forecasts and observations collected and analyzed by ForecastWatch. If you would like more information about the methods, scientific approach, and the quality controls employed to ensure the data and analyses are of the highest quality, please read this overview.

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