Weather forecast accuracy details for Chincoteague Island, Virginia

These are the one- to three-day out accuracy percentages for high temperature, low temperature, icon forecast precipitation (both rain and snow), and text forecast precipitation (both rain and snow). Temperature accuracy is the percentage of forecasts within three degrees. Precipitation accuracy is the percentage of correct forecasts. The forecasts are collected in the evening.

Click on the headers to sort by that column.

Weather Forecast Accuracy Data Last Month (September)

Provider High Temp Low Temp Icon Precip Text Precip Overall
Weather Underground   95.56% 68.89% 88.89% 88.89% 85.56%
The Weather Channel   95.56% 67.78% 85.56% 85.56% 83.61%
Foreca/Vaisala   87.78% 64.44% 90.00% 90.00% 83.06%
AccuWeather   90.00% 72.22% 84.44% 81.11% 81.94%
AerisWeather   88.89% 65.56% 80.00% 80.00% 78.61%
NWS Digital Forecast   83.33% 67.78% 75.56% 75.56% 75.56%
Wetter   61.11% 44.44% 88.89% 88.89% 70.83%
World Weather Online   78.89% 60.00% 71.11% 71.11% 70.28%
OpenWeather   60.00% 55.56% 73.33% 73.33% 65.56%
Weather News   70.00% 57.78% 86.67% 0.00% 53.61%
Persistence   42.65% 21.13% 66.18% 66.18% 49.03%

Weather Forecast Accuracy Data Last Year (2020)

Provider High Temp Low Temp Icon Precip Text Precip Overall
The Weather Channel   81.70% 80.44% 83.19% 83.19% 82.13%
Weather Underground   81.70% 80.44% 80.80% 80.80% 80.94%
AccuWeather   83.24% 80.83% 75.93% 74.88% 78.72%
Foreca/Vaisala   80.15% 77.26% 77.75% 77.75% 78.23%
AerisWeather   76.78% 75.05% 73.83% 73.83% 74.87%
NWS Digital Forecast   77.17% 77.07% 70.15% 70.15% 73.63%
Wetter   68.32% 44.90% 75.82% 75.82% 66.21%
OpenWeather   58.19% 52.70% 74.69% 74.69% 65.07%
World Weather Online   57.68% 53.72% 73.75% 73.75% 64.73%
Weather News   57.60% 61.33% 62.82% 0.00% 45.44%
Persistence   30.89% 31.08% 50.06% 50.06% 40.52%

If this data feeds your inner weather geek, you'll probably be interested in the amazing amount of weather data available from ForecastWatch. Likewise, if you're looking to assess your own forecasting accuracy or would like to make more informed decisions about a weather provider you're considering or already use, we can provide data to help you.

The data here is calculated from forecasts and observations collected and analyzed by ForecastWatch. If you would like more information about the methods, scientific approach, and the quality controls employed to ensure the data and analyses are of the highest quality, please read this overview.

Please contact us with whatever custom needs you may have. We would love to help!