Weather forecast accuracy details for Elberon, Virginia

These are the one- to three-day out accuracy percentages for high temperature, low temperature, icon forecast precipitation (both rain and snow), and text forecast precipitation (both rain and snow). Temperature accuracy is the percentage of forecasts within three degrees. Precipitation accuracy is the percentage of correct forecasts. The forecasts are collected in the evening.

Click on the headers to sort by that column.

Weather Forecast Accuracy Data Last Month (February)

Provider High Temp Low Temp Icon Precip Text Precip Overall
AccuWeather   82.43% 87.67% 91.89% 93.24% 88.81%
The Weather Channel   83.91% 81.61% 88.51% 88.51% 85.63%
Foreca/Vaisala   74.71% 80.46% 89.66% 89.66% 83.62%
AerisWeather   77.01% 73.56% 91.95% 91.95% 83.62%
Microsoft   74.70% 80.72% 85.54% 90.36% 82.83%
NWS Digital Forecast   73.56% 82.76% 86.21% 86.21% 82.18%
Weatherbit   80.23% 80.23% 82.56% 82.56% 81.40%
Open-Meteo   68.97% 47.13% 93.10% 93.10% 75.57%
World Weather Online   67.82% 34.48% 91.95% 91.95% 71.55%
OpenWeather   64.37% 24.14% 96.55% 96.55% 70.40%
Pirate Weather   64.37% 25.29% 86.21% 86.21% 65.52%
Wetter   51.72% 35.63% 82.76% 75.86% 61.49%
Persistence   28.33% 37.70% 75.00% 75.00% 54.01%

Weather Forecast Accuracy Data Last Year (2023)

Provider High Temp Low Temp Icon Precip Text Precip Overall
The Weather Channel   85.07% 79.40% 85.39% 85.39% 83.81%
Microsoft   83.10% 78.28% 84.56% 84.56% 82.62%
Foreca/Vaisala   81.41% 74.27% 85.48% 85.48% 81.66%
AccuWeather   84.03% 80.15% 77.73% 77.63% 79.88%
AerisWeather   81.50% 75.09% 80.55% 80.55% 79.42%
NWS Digital Forecast   81.70% 75.42% 77.93% 77.93% 78.24%
Weatherbit   76.58% 74.35% 80.74% 80.65% 78.08%
World Weather Online   67.43% 57.18% 77.27% 77.27% 69.79%
Pirate Weather   68.60% 39.32% 81.82% 81.82% 67.89%
OpenWeather   64.19% 44.23% 78.36% 78.36% 66.28%
Wetter   59.89% 48.99% 77.08% 75.80% 65.44%
Persistence   34.05% 27.51% 52.51% 52.51% 41.64%

If this data feeds your inner weather geek, you'll probably be interested in the amazing amount of weather data available from ForecastWatch. Likewise, if you're looking to assess your own forecasting accuracy or would like to make more informed decisions about a weather provider you're considering or already use, we can provide data to help you.

The data here is calculated from forecasts and observations collected and analyzed by ForecastWatch. If you would like more information about the methods, scientific approach, and the quality controls employed to ensure the data and analyses are of the highest quality, please read this overview.

Please contact us with whatever custom needs you may have. We would love to help!